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WEEK IN REVIEW
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Mike Benbow, Business Editor
benbow@heraldnet.com
 
Published: Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Oil steady above $124 after steep fall on worries over waning US demand

SINGAPORE -- Oil prices steadied in Asian trading Thursday after shedding nearly $4 a barrel in the previous session on concerns that high fuel prices are dampening demand in the world's biggest energy consumer.

A weekly report by the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration showed that gasoline demand over the four weeks ended July 18 was 2.4 percent lower than a year earlier -- offering further evidence that Americans are cutting back on fuel.

"The worries about demand erosion in the U.S. and an economic slowdown are really pulling prices down," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with consulting firm Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore.

Light, sweet crude for September delivery fell 24 cents to $124.20 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by midday in Singapore. The contract on Wednesday dropped $3.98 to settle at $124.44 a barrel, crude's lowest finish in floor trade since June 4.

The Energy Department's report also showed that U.S. gasoline stockpiles jumped 2.9 million barrels last week, far more than analysts surveyed by energy research firm Platts predicted. The decline in crude inventories was less than forecast.

"This is the summer driving season and so there's no question that the data shows demand destruction in the U.S.," Shum said.

Concerns that Hurricane Dolly might affect oil and natural gas output in the Gulf of Mexico dwindled as it made landfall near South Padre Island in Texas on today. The U.S. Minerals Management Service reported that only about 4.7 percent of production -- about 60,000 barrels a day -- has been halted because of the storm.

A stronger dollar has added to the pressure on crude prices.

As recently as a week and a half ago, oil seemed on a relentless march toward $150 a barrel. Prices have now fallen in six of the last seven sessions.

"Given that pricing has dropped $20 in two weeks, the question that is on everybody's mind now is whether the oil market has reached a tipping point," Shum said.

"But in the past four-plus years of oil's bull run, the market has seen significant downward corrections before. Each time, the market has come back and moved higher and established new highs."

A threat by Nigeria's main militant group Wednesday to destroy major pipelines in the oil exporting country within 30 days did little to slow crude's decline. The group said in an e-mail statement it had not been part of an alleged $12 million payment to militants to protect pipelines.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 0.09 cent to $3.5492 a gallon while gasoline prices lost 1.35 cents to $3.0209 a gallon. Natural gas futures dropped 5.7 cents to $9.731 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Brent crude for September delivery fell 19 cents to $125.10 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

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