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WEEK IN REVIEW
Tuesday


Arlington brothers’ fight led to death, p...
Burn ban issued in Snohomish County
Woman found dead at Bothell house fire
Monday


Pearl Harbor's voices of the past
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Grant could help county's residents all be heal...
Sunday


Swine flu lingers, making traditional flu seaso...
Two vie to serve as Snohomish County prosecutor
Families get an early gift: free Christmas trees
Saturday


Gift charity draws Snohomish County families in...
Fears over commercial air service at Paine Fiel...
Donated safe gives Marysville museum a mystery
Friday


From behind bars, pal tells Colton Harris-Moore...
Commercial airlines would cause few problems at...
Fund set up to benefit children of couple kille...
Thursday


5 die of swine flu in Snohomish County
Red Cross honors acts of heroism, many by ordin...
Barista clothing rules delayed by County Council
Wednesday


Father gets 13 years in 6-year-old's fatal shoo...
‘One bad choice' blamed in death of 4 fri...
Reps. Larsen, Inslee split on Obama's plans for...
 

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CONTACT THE HERALD
Mike Benbow, Business Editor
benbow@heraldnet.com
 
Published: Tuesday, January 13, 2009

U.S. economy likely to remain mired

WASHINGTON -- The country's economic health is "very weak" and is likely to stay that way at least through the first six months of this year, a Federal Reserve official said Monday.

"Clearly the U.S. economy is in a tough fight against pernicious economic forces," Dennis Lockhart, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta said in a speech to business people in Georgia.

Lockhart this year is a voting member of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, the Fed's policymaking group. Led by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, the panel sets interest rates and is leading the central bank's efforts to battle the worst financial crisis since the 1930s.

The economy probably shrank at an annualized rate of between 4 percent and 6 percent in the final three months of last year and likely will turn in a similar performance in the first quarter of this year, Lockhart said. The government will release fourth-quarter results at the end of January and will report on the first quarter in late April.

"Looking ahead, the overall economy is very weak, and I expect it will remain weak at least through the first half of 2009," he said.

But Lockhart was hopeful for "an improving economy in the second half" as financial markets stabilize somewhat. However, he added: "To temper that a bit, there is always the risk of a shock or reversal in the financial sector or elsewhere that could again alter the outlook to the downside."

Still, Lockhart sounded a tad more optimistic about recovery prospects than most private economists, especially after a grim report last week showed the nation's employment climate getting worse. The unemployment rate jumped to 7.2 percent in December, a 16-year high, as employers slashed another 524,000 jobs.

In a historic move, the Fed last month ratcheted down its key interest to hover between zero and 0.25 percent, a record low. The central bank signaled it would hold rates at such levels for some time to help cushion the blows of a recession that has just entered its second year. The Fed also pledged to use unconventional tools to help revive the economy.

"I want to assure you the Federal Reserve still has considerable ammunition in reserve to be used as needed" to turn the economy around, Lockhart said.

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