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WEEK IN REVIEW
Monday
Edmonds councilwoman dies at 59
Fire destroys Silver Lake landmark
Later start for school day unlikely in Marysville
Sunday
Six injured, three critically, in wreck near Ma...
Gay marriage issue can wait, say Referendum 71 ...
Glacier Peak freshman overcomes jitters to win ...
Saturday
More snow expected at mountain passes
Suspect identified in Seattle police killing
Thousands honor slain Seattle police officer Ti...
Friday


Officer Timothy Brenton. Gone, but not forgotten
Person sought in officer's killing is shot in head
Thousands to pay respects to slain Seattle poli...
Thursday


Tale of 1916 Everett Massacre retold in style o...
Reservist survived Iraq but not his return to c...
Swine flu suspected in infant’s death
Wednesday


‘Everything but marriage' law close to vi...
Library levy winning by 51% to 49%
Incumbents looking strong in Snohomish County C...
Tuesday


Delayed financial aid forcing college students ...
Slaying of officer reminds police of dangers of...
Edmonds turns over firefighting duties to Fire ...
 

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CONTACT THE HERALD
Mike Benbow, Business Editor
benbow@heraldnet.com
 
Published: Tuesday, January 13, 2009

U.S. economy likely to remain mired

WASHINGTON -- The country's economic health is "very weak" and is likely to stay that way at least through the first six months of this year, a Federal Reserve official said Monday.

"Clearly the U.S. economy is in a tough fight against pernicious economic forces," Dennis Lockhart, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta said in a speech to business people in Georgia.

Lockhart this year is a voting member of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, the Fed's policymaking group. Led by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, the panel sets interest rates and is leading the central bank's efforts to battle the worst financial crisis since the 1930s.

The economy probably shrank at an annualized rate of between 4 percent and 6 percent in the final three months of last year and likely will turn in a similar performance in the first quarter of this year, Lockhart said. The government will release fourth-quarter results at the end of January and will report on the first quarter in late April.

"Looking ahead, the overall economy is very weak, and I expect it will remain weak at least through the first half of 2009," he said.

But Lockhart was hopeful for "an improving economy in the second half" as financial markets stabilize somewhat. However, he added: "To temper that a bit, there is always the risk of a shock or reversal in the financial sector or elsewhere that could again alter the outlook to the downside."

Still, Lockhart sounded a tad more optimistic about recovery prospects than most private economists, especially after a grim report last week showed the nation's employment climate getting worse. The unemployment rate jumped to 7.2 percent in December, a 16-year high, as employers slashed another 524,000 jobs.

In a historic move, the Fed last month ratcheted down its key interest to hover between zero and 0.25 percent, a record low. The central bank signaled it would hold rates at such levels for some time to help cushion the blows of a recession that has just entered its second year. The Fed also pledged to use unconventional tools to help revive the economy.

"I want to assure you the Federal Reserve still has considerable ammunition in reserve to be used as needed" to turn the economy around, Lockhart said.

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1. Fire destroys Silver Lake landmark
2. Tree clearing, mud slide angers Everett neighbor
3. County tackles bikini barista rules
4. Six people injured in Machias car crash
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