|
|
Local News
|
|
| |
ADVERTISEMENT
|
| |
 |
| CONTACT THE HERALD |
Robert Frank, City Editor
frank@heraldnet.com |
| |
Published: Sunday, October 25, 2009
Courtroom detours in Referendum 71 fight may prove costly to foes
By Jerry Cornfield Herald Columnist
Opponents of Referendum 71 swerved off the road to victory onto the shoulder toward defeat this week.
With legal dramas unfolding in the nation's Capitol, the state's Capitol and Tacoma, leaders of the campaign to reject the referendum spent more time talking about their cases than spreading their campaign gospel.
While they received much media exposure at no cost, they'll pay a price for not using the free time to communicate their message better to voters.
At this point, with ballots mailed, all the turns of the legal screw are confusing the issue and distracting the voters, creating an opportunity for those who want the measure approved to pick up valuable ground.
Until this week, the forces who decry the “everything but marriage” law as an attack on traditional families by an overreaching government appeared to have the upper hand in this contest.
One reason is the Obama factor that is causing a nationwide shift in political temperament.
President Barack Obama's personal popularity is dipping and his policies are suffering, too. A year of recession, bailouts and war is making blocs of voters grumpy, frustrated with the status quo and generally disillusioned with those at the helm.
In partisan terms, conservative Republicans are getting their groove refitted, Democrats are playing defense, progressives appear subdued and those independents are again feeling very independent.
Signs of the shifting mood toward politicians in Washington are evident in the defeat of Greg Nickels in Seattle and the good possibility that Susan Hutchison may become the next King County executive.
But on a ballot measure dealing with values like Referendum 71 — where voters will decide whether to keep or discard a law giving domestic partnerships equal treatment under state law as married couples — it's all guesswork.
It puts the spotlight on those independents, who occupy Washington's political middle ground. Whether they'll show and which way they'll vote is a source of a lot of wondering.
Of course, turnout is pivotal with the outcome hinging a great deal on how many people cast ballots in Seattle and King County, the only places in the state where polling consistently finds a majority wanting to approve R-71. If it soars there, the law will be preserved.
Strategists with the campaign to reject the referendum think the religious vote will provide one-third to 40 percent of their total. They need to tap deep into the well of voters with an independent streak and an attitude to put them over the top.
That's why expending energy this past week on the legal front rather than on reaching out to those potential voters may prove particularly damaging.
While they had their heads turned, the Approve R-71 campaign awakened from its slumber with a powerful television ad featuring Charlene Strong.
She's the Seattle woman whose partner, Kate Fleming, died in the flood of 2006. Strong's story is how she was prevented from being at her partner's bedside when Fleming passed.
This 30-second ad could be the game-changer. It's simple in its presentation and precise in its point. Women voters, always a crucial group in an election, will feel the tug of emotion and the pull of Strong's position.
Opponents of the referendum showed no immediate signs of swerving in response to the ad.
Maybe they're confident in the direction they're traveling. Or maybe they're planning a last-minute maneuver to cross the finish line first.
If so, let's hope it doesn't get us all parked in court.
Political reporter Jerry Cornfield's blog, The Petri Dish, is at www. heraldnet.com. Contact him at 360-352-8623 or jcornfield@heraldnet.com.
|
| 2
- Top 10 Stories Most Talked about |
| 3
- Top 10 Stories Most Emailed |
|
|
|
|
|