Down economy pushes up recruit levels for military

  • By Tom Philpott Military Update
  • Friday, October 23, 2009 10:15pm
  • Business

Middle-class American youth are entering the military in significant numbers today, drawn by more competitive pay, a battered job market and the buzz surrounding an improved G.I. Bill education benefit.

The Department of Defense announced last week that for the first time since the draft ended and the all-volunteer force began 36 years ago, every service branch and reserve component met or exceeded its recruiting goals, both in numbers and quality, in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30.

A closer look at socioeconomic data from recent year groups of recruits shows a rising number drawn from middle-income and higher-income families. Dr. Curtis Gilroy, director of accession policy for the Department of Defense, explained it by noting the military remains an institution held in high regard, pay has grown steadily more competitive and violence has fallen sharply in Iraq. This leaves parents, teachers, coaches and other “influencers” more willing today to recommend military service.

Patriotism, too, is an important factor, he said. But the first reason he gives for 2009 being a banner year for recruiting is the weak economy.

The recent downturn “resulted in the largest and the swiftest increase in overall unemployment that we’ve ever experienced,” Gilroy said. In March 2007, the overall unemployment rate was 4.4 percent. In just 18 months it spiked to 9.8 percent, creating a boom for military recruiting.

The worst job market collapse in decades combined with a host of other factors creates a near perfect environment for signing military volunteers, temporary though that experience is likely to be, Gilroy said.

“It’s been rather fortuitous the way things have come together,” said the recruit policy chief. “But you know just as things come together, things can certainly fall apart (so) we cannot take our success for granted … The economy will improve … When that happens we need to make sure we are resourced (to sustain) recruiting. So we cannot cut recruiting budgets too much, too fast and in the wrong places. We have done that in the past.”

In an interview Tuesday, Gilroy said the socioeconomic data dispels the myth that recruits hail disproportionately from families in poverty or surviving on modest incomes. He cited a Heritage Foundation study showing that from 1999 to 2007, the percentage of non-prior-service recruits entering the military from families in the nation’s poorest neighborhoods fell from 18 percent to 10.7 percent. Recruits from families living in richest one-fifth of neighborhoods rose from 18.6 percent to 24.9 percent.

Recruits in 2006 and 2007, the latest years for available data, were modestly over-representative of neighborhoods where average family income is $40,000 or more. Neighborhoods with family incomes below $40,000 were under-represented among recruits signed during those two years.

Bill Carr, deputy undersecretary of defense for military personnel policy, noted at a briefing last week that recruit pay has been raised steadily in recent years, enough that it now exceeds earnings for 90 percent of civilian youth of like age, education and experience.

That helps to account for the middle-class shift toward military service, Gilroy said. It’s a trend almost certain to be enhanced by the improved education benefits, offered as of August this year, under the new G.I. Bill.

It would be hard to label the recruiting environment perfect, considering that war continues in Iraq and will intensify in Afghanistan. Another negative factor is the rising incidence of obesity among America’s youth, which constrains the pool of eligible youth, Carr explained.

A new recruit can earn about $20,000 in basic pay the first year plus room and board or, if married, plus tax-free housing and food allowances, which can boost total income by another third, depending on assignment.

Forty percent of recruits in fiscal 2009 also were paid a signing bonus, which can vary from $1,000 up to $40,000, Wicker said. In 2008, the average bonus was $24,300 for new soldiers, $16,600 for sailors, $11,000 for Marines and $9,000 for airmen.

“Many young people,” said Gilroy, “are looking at the military as a viable career option.”

To comment, e-mail milupdate@aol.com, write to Military Update, P.O. Box 231111, Centreville, VA, 20120-1111 or visit: www.militaryupdate.com.

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