Missouri race still tight after candidate’s death

Associated Press

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – The Senate race between the late Gov. Mel Carnahan and Republican Sen. John Ashcroft remains extremely close little more than a week after Carnahan’s death in a plane crash.

New polls in Virginia and Michigan also found Senate races in statistical dead heats, though a second Virginia poll showed a sizable gap.

A telephone poll conducted for The Kansas City Star found the Democrat Carnahan and incumbent Ashcroft at 46 percent each.

Seven percent were undecided and 1 percent preferred third-party candidates. The poll had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Because Carnahan died so close to the Nov. 7 election, his name will remain on the ballot. Democratic Gov. Roger Wilson has said he would appoint Carnahan’s widow, Jean, if Carnahan wins. Jean Carnahan has not said whether she will accept.

Experts cautioned the race could change quickly.

“I can’t predict what will happen once a little more time and distance is put between last week’s events,” said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling &Research, which conducted the survey.

In a second question, the poll conducted on Monday and Tuesday included an explanation of Carnahan’s death and Wilson’s plan to appoint Carnahan’s widow for a two-year term if Carnahan were the top vote-getter.

With the additional information, Carnahan’s support rose to 47 percent with Ashcroft at 45 percent, a difference that is not significant statistically.

In Virginia, a poll of registered voters released Thursday found Democratic Sen. Chuck Robb had pulled statistically even with Republican George Allen.

Forty-seven percent of the voters said they would vote for Allen if the election were held then, while 44 percent backed Robb. Nine percent were undecided.

The poll of 627 registered voters on Tuesday and Wednesday was conducted for newspapers and broadcasters by Mason-Dixon Polling &Research. It has a margin of error of four percentage points.

But a second poll of people who said they were likely to vote found Allen with a double-digit lead over Robb. The survey of 596 people by Virginia Commonwealth University showed 54 percent backing Allen, 39 percent for Robb and 7 percent undecided.

The poll was conducted Oct. 18 through Tuesday and had a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

For the past two years, Allen has enjoyed a comfortable lead in the polls. But the Mason-Dixon poll found Robb had cut the margin with gains among female voters. In that poll, Robb had an 11-percentage point lead, while Allen led by 20 percentage points among men.

Robb is no stranger to comebacks. Six years ago, he also trailed his Republican opponent throughout most of the campaign, taking a small lead in the polls only a few days before winning the three-way race.

In Michigan, a poll released Thursday found Democratic Rep. Debbie Stabenow in a dead heat with Republican incumbent Spence Abraham after months of trailing Abraham.

The poll, by Lansing’s EPIC/MRA, shows Abraham and Stabenow each with 41 percent, with 15 percent of voters undecided. The poll, conducted for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV of Detroit, questioned 600 likely voters Monday through Wednesday and had a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Only two weeks ago, Stabenow was 10 points behind.

Copyright ©2000 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

Talk to us

> Give us your news tips.

> Send us a letter to the editor.

> More Herald contact information.

More in Local News

Traffic idles while waiting for the lights to change along 33rd Avenue West on Tuesday, April 2, 2024 in Lynnwood, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Lynnwood seeks solutions to Costco traffic boondoggle

Let’s take a look at the troublesome intersection of 33rd Avenue W and 30th Place W, as Lynnwood weighs options for better traffic flow.

A memorial with small gifts surrounded a utility pole with a photograph of Ariel Garcia at the corner of Alpine Drive and Vesper Drive ion Wednesday, April 10, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Death of Everett boy, 4, spurs questions over lack of Amber Alert

Local police and court authorities were reluctant to address some key questions, when asked by a Daily Herald reporter this week.

The new Amazon fulfillment center under construction along 172nd Street NE in Arlington, just south of Arlington Municipal Airport. (Chuck Taylor / The Herald) 20210708
Frito-Lay leases massive building at Marysville business park

The company will move next door to Tesla and occupy a 300,0000-square-foot building at the Marysville business park.

A Mukilteo firefighter waves out of a fire truck. (Photo provided by Mukilteo Fire Department)
EMS levy lift would increase tax bill $200 for average Mukilteo house

A measure rejected by voters in 2023 is back. “We’re getting further and further behind as we go through the days,” Fire Chief Glen Albright said.

An emergency overdose kit with naloxone located next to an emergency defibrillator at Mountain View student housing at Everett Community College on Tuesday, March 5, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
To combat fentanyl, Snohomish County trickles out cash to recovery groups

The latest dispersal, $77,800 in total, is a wafer-thin slice of the state’s $1.1 billion in opioid lawsuit settlements.

A giant Bigfoot creation made by Terry Carrigan, 60, at his home-based Skywater Studios on Sunday, April 14, 2024 in Monroe, Washington. (Annie Barker / The Herald)
The 1,500-pound Sasquatch: Bigfoot comes to life in woods near Monroe

A possibly larger-than-life sculpture, created by Terry Carrigan of Skywater Studios, will be featured at this weekend’s “Oddmall” expo.

Deputy prosecutors Bob Langbehn and Melissa Samp speak during the new trial of Jamel Alexander on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, at Snohomish County Superior Court in Everett, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
Second trial begins for man accused of stomping Everett woman to death

In 2021, a jury found Jamel Alexander guilty of first-degree murder in the killing of Shawna Brune. An appellate court overturned his conviction.

New Jersey company acquires Lynnwood Land Rover dealership

Land Rover Seattle, now Land Rover Lynnwood, has been purchased by Holman, a 100-year-old company.

Dave Calhoun, center, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on Jan. 24. (Samuel Corum / Bloomberg)
Boeing fired lobbying firm that helped it navigate 737 Max crashes

Amid congressional hearings on Boeing’s “broken safety culture,” the company has severed ties with one of D.C.’s most powerful firms.

Authorities found King County woman Jane Tang who was missing since March 2 near Heather Lake. (Family photo)
Body of missing woman recovered near Heather Lake

Jane Tang, 61, told family she was going to a state park last month. Search teams found her body weeks later.

Deborah Wade (photo provided by Everett Public Schools)
‘We are heartbroken’: Everett teacher died after driving off Tulalip road

Deborah Wade “saw the world and found beauty in people,” according to her obituary. She was 56.

Snohomish City Hall on Friday, April 12, 2024 in Snohomish, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Snohomish may sell off old City Hall, water treatment plant, more

That’s because, as soon as 2027, Snohomish City Hall and the police and public works departments could move to a brand-new campus.

Support local journalism

If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.