CAMP NOTHING HILL, Serbia — Suddenly, they’re almost everywhere: NATO peacekeepers patrolling Kosovo in trucks and Humvees. The increased presence is intended to reassure, but it’s rattling nerves as the breakaway province gears up for independence.
“There’s tension in the air — especially at night,” said Dragan Jovanovic, 41, who lives in Sainovica, a Serb village in western Kosovo that is surrounded by ethnic Albanian settlements in a valley lined by a rugged range of snowcapped peaks known as the Cursed Mountains.
With some Serbian officials threatening violence if Kosovo declares statehood early next year, there are fears that things could go badly again in the Balkans. And if there is trouble, it is likely to happen here first, along northern Kosovo’s desolate border with the rest of Serbia.
“I don’t expect any major outbursts,” said NATO’s commander in Kosovo, French Lt. Gen. Xavier Bout de Marnhac. But he acknowledged: “I can’t be behind every bush in Kosovo.”
The birth of Europe’s newest nation, international observers warn, could touch off the continent’s next crisis.
“There will be protests. There could be riots,” said Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow for European studies at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.
“Kosovo is to the Serbs in some ways as Jerusalem is to Israelis or Palestinians,” he said. “Lives are on the line, and we may see renewed bloodshed in the Balkans sometime early next year.”
Serbia has offered broad autonomy, but insists that Kosovo remain part of its territory. Russia agrees, contending Kosovo’s independence would encourage other separatist movements in Georgia, Chechnya and worldwide, and has vowed to block it at the U.N. Security Council.
The province’s ethnic Albanian majority demands nothing short of full independence and an end to the limbo that began in 1999, when NATO airstrikes ended a brutal Serbian crackdown on separatist rebels and Kosovo came under U.N. administration.
With the rival sides hopelessly deadlocked — and the Security Council unlikely to reach agreement on a way forward when it takes up the issue on Dec. 19 — Kosovo’s leaders are now expected in January to formally set the province on the road to achieving statehood by spring.
“Compromise is impossible,” Kosovo’s incoming new prime minister, former guerrilla leader Hashim Thaci, declared Saturday.
“Kosovo will be independent. The negotiating process is finished. Now it’s time for a decision,” Thaci said.
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