Trump singles out Mexico, but real NAFTA challenge is north

By Ana Swanson, The Washington Post

Many of Donald Trump’s fiercest attacks during the campaign were centered on Mexico, and how our southern neighbor had used the North American Free Trade Agreement to take advantage of us and steal American jobs.

But among some politicians, trade analysts and business people, recent complaints about NAFTA have focused on a different target — Canada.

The tension was on display last week at a confirmation hearing for Trump’s main trade negotiator. One by one, both Democrats and Republicans pressed Robert Lighthizer, Trump’s nominee for United States Trade Representative, about what they described as Canada’s transgressions in trade. The senators mentioned Mexico in a much more flattering light, as a major market for U.S. agricultural exports that they pressed Lighthizer to protect.

Lighthizer appeared to largely agree. “There are a number of issues we have to address with respect to Canada,” he said.

The hearing highlighted a contrast between Trump’s attacks on the campaign trail and what many businesses, politicians and analysts say are their real concerns about trade with neighbors. Some argue that, despite the harsh political rhetoric, Mexico has actually been more responsive to addressing U.S. concerns that have arisen under NAFTA – and that Canada is the partner that now needs to step up when it comes to enforcing intellectual property and opening its markets to trade.

Some of these claims may be overblown, and the Canadians certainly have plenty of complaints of their own about challenges they face in the U.S.

“The reality is in almost every aspect of our lives, we work co-operatively with our neighbor the United States of America,” David MacNaughton, Canada’s ambassador to the US, said in January. “Our challenge is that most of this relationship works so well it’s hardly noticed, particularly by many of our friends south of the border.”

Canada is the largest market for the U.S. as a whole, and for most American states. Since the North American Free Trade Agreement went into effect in 1994, the countries have only become more closely tied together, while trade between the U.S. and Canada has doubled.

But at least in the current political climate, many U.S. businesses, politicians and trade analysts seem more willing to complain about irritants in the U.S. trade relationship with Canada than with Mexico.

In Lighthizer’s confirmation hearing, long-running complaints about a lack of openness in Canada’s dairy and poultry markets, the pricing of lumber imports from Canada into the U.S., and a lack of rigor in Canada’s enforcement of U.S. intellectual property were on full display.

Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., called the conflict over lumber “the longest running battle since the Trojan war.” Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, said it was “well documented that Canada refuses to enforce intellectual property rights for the in transit cargo destined for the United States.” And Sen. Tom Carper, D-Del.,contrasted Mexico’s openness to U.S. agricultural exports with Canada’s closed markets.

“Mexico is now maybe out top customer for American poultry in the whole world. And Canada maybe is among the last,” Carper said.

“With Canada, the frustration is just that these problems have been ongoing for years, decades, and have not gotten resolved,” said Stephen Claeys, an international trade lawyer and partner at Wiley Rein, who says that the U.S. trade relationship with Canada often takes “a few steps forward and a few steps back.”

“A lot of frustration with Canada is rooted in the fact that these problems shouldn’t be so hard given how much we have in common,” says Claeys.

Chip Roh, a former trade lawyer and the deputy chief negotiator of NAFTA, says that Mexico has made a huge amount of progress in opening its markets under NAFTA, and that it has closely followed the rules of the agreement. However, he said he doesn’t think Mexico is more open than Canada today.

“The Mexican economy is way behind the U.S. and Canadian economy in terms of transparency, openness, development. So I don’t think objectively you could say Mexico is a fairer place to invest,” he said. Yet there have been a few issues about Canada that have persistently bugged U.S. producers for years.

“Part of the problem is the U.S. and Canada are so similar that we find it impossible to forgive ourselves our few differences,” said Roh.

Hatch, the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, called the degree to which Mexico had reformed its economy under NAFTA “impressive.” “Obviously, there is more work to be done to ensure that NAFTA, and all of our trade agreements, are fully enforced and reflect the highest possible standards,” he said.

Economists say Canada probably hasn’t become a target of the Trump administration in part because Trump and some of his advisers are so focused on trade deficits. The U.S. ran a trade deficit of nearly $50 billion in goods and services with Mexico in 2015, while trade with Canada was more balanced, ending in a goods and trade surplus of $11.9 billion that same year.

This may be why Trump commented in a meeting with Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau in February that his biggest concern with NAFTA was the U.S. relationship with Mexico, while the U.S. agreement with Canada only needed “tweaking.”

Yet economists argue against Trump’s emphasis on trade deficits and surpluses, saying these metrics are now good measures of a trade deal’s success.

Douglas Irwin, an economist at Dartmouth, says the Trump administration has been vague in indicating what particular provisions of NAFTA they would like to revise. “The big problem is that they tend to discuss the success or failure of trade agreements by whether we have a trade surplus or trade deficit.”

But, Irwin says, “trade agreements don’t dictate that … Trade agreements don’t guarantee you any outcome in terms of the balance of trade.”

Trump’s complaints about Mexican trade practices come within the context of a campaign that often blamed immigrants, particularly from Mexico, for many of the nation’s problems. Trump has been far less focused on America’s northern border and the people who may come across it.

Others note that Canada may be catching criticism from senators because, as one of the closest and more peaceful bilateral relationships in the world, the U.S.-Canada relationship is a safe target for political outrage.

Politicians today, especially free traders who previously supported NAFTA, may be hesitant to incite the administration to further action by criticizing Mexico. But with Canada, politicians are confident they can lob a criticism or two without touching off an international incident.

“There is some element of ‘It’s always safe to complain about Canada,’” says Roh.

Talk to us

More in Local News

Sherman Pruitt 2020
Edmonds mayor picks Sherman Pruitt to be next police chief

He currently serves as chief of police for the Sauk-Suiattle Police Department near Darrington.

Snohomish County Jail. (Sue Misao / Herald file)
Snohomish County Jail employee charged in drug smuggling

Alexis Wafstet was charged with drug possession. Several inmates were allegedly in on the plot.

Linda Redmon
Snohomish council leader announces early for mayor campaign

City Councilmember Linda Redmon is the first to file in the race. Mayor John Kartak has not said if he will run again.

Break on surface water fee means less money for environment

The Snohomish County Council voted to nix an annual fee increase that funds preservation work.

Pair of Nikes leads to bank robbery arrest in south Everett

The suspect allegedly took $1,000 in cash from a KeyBank. He was found a few blocks away.

Man, 80, who died in hit-and-run near Lynnwood identified

Jung K. Moon was on the sidewalk when he was struck by a pickup truck. The driver has been arrested.

Deputies: Armed man dressed as cop attacks man near Everett

The suspect allegedly wore police badges and aimed a gun at a man after pushing him to the ground.

Sarah Calvo pours icing on to a cinnamon roll at the Maltby Cafe while Kylie King checks take out orders on Thursday, Dec. 3, 2020 in Maltby, Washington. A GoFundMe fundraising page continues to grow, raising more than $80,000 from 1,200 people in just a few days. Owners Tana Baumler and Sandra Albright thought they were going to closed before the website donations made them pause their decision. (Andy Bronson / The Herald)
Miracle in Maltby: Community support saves small-town cafe

Owners of the Maltby Cafe feared closure, but a wave of business and donations has thwarted the end.

16,000 fentanyl pills, pounds of meth, heroin seized in bust

Eight suspects were indicted in U.S. District Court in Seattle, including five from Snohomish County.

Most Read