Playing the Percentages

  • Associated Press
  • Friday, December 21, 2007 8:33pm
  • Business

NEW YORK — Never mind all the pressure this season from the nation’s stores to do holiday shopping early with such tactics as marathon shopping hours and other come-ons. Meghan Donovan did it her way.

The San Francisco resident started her research in early November, thumbing through catalogs, checking out stores and searching online. Then she waited, and doesn’t pounce on anything unless the item is down at least 30 percent.

“I definitely do a lot of research and then narrow it down. I would have spent more money if I shopped earlier,” said Donovan, who planned to finish her efforts today.

With Christmas coming Tuesday, merchants found themselves in the same situation as in recent years: waiting for those last-minute shoppers. But based on anecdotal evidence, the ritual of shopping later is becoming more prominent as consumers — under increasing time pressure and armed with the Internet, gift cards and other buying options — want to take more control of the shopping experience.

Exacerbating the problem this year is that Christmas falling on a Tuesday, gave consumers a full weekend to finish.

“What we see in broad terms is that people are less interested in being forced to do something by marketers and retailers and a lot more are interested in managing the shopping and consuming experience themselves,” said J. Walker Smith, president of market research company Yankelovich Inc. “They want to be in charge. It’s not that people don’t want to shop. They just want to shop on their own terms.”

Such changing consumer habits could transform how the nation’s stores operate, for example, expanding shopping hours for the rest of the year, said Michael Niemira, chief economist at International Council of Shopping Centers.

Nevertheless, Marshal Cohen, chief analyst at NPD Group Inc., said stores are partly at fault for such delayed holiday buying because, with the exception of some popular items such as Australian sheepskin UGG boots or Nintendo’s Wii, there was little reason for shoppers to run out to stores to buy early. Instead, consumers bought in general categories such as flat-panel TVs or GPS systems, with no specific brand in mind, so they could find.

“There’s no passion,” for holiday shopping, Cohen said.

The procrastination phenomenon is increasingly frustrating retailers whose efforts to draw customers aren’t working they way they used to.

Big sales in early November — along with the sales bonanza on Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving — took a lot of thunder out of December, according to Candace Corlett, principal at WSL Strategic Retail. Stores including Toys “R” Us and Wal-Mart tried to start the season early with expanded hours and early morning specials similar to those offered on Black Friday, the traditional kickoff of holiday shopping.

Now stores are trying to do the same with the season’s finale, offering marathon hours and other come-ons.

“It’s maddening from a retail perspective because you are sitting there waiting,” said Ed Schmults, chief executive of FAO Schwarz. The iconic toy retailer, which operates stores in Manhattan and Las Vegas, will be open on Christmas for the first time and added a last minute 25 percent reduction and free standard shipping on orders on fao.com until Tuesday to spark sales.

“People are busier than ever. They’re working longer hours,” said Peter Cobb, co-founder of ebags.com, who’s seeing business surge later.

Improvements in Web sites’ ordering and shipping have pushed back online shopping, because late shoppers felt more confident that their gifts would arrive by Christmas Eve. And shoppers who ordered late are not being punished for doing so, unless, of course, they wanted something in limited supply.

According to shop.org, the online arm of National Retail Federation, 68 percent of online retailers polled said they are offering some sort of promotion on upgraded shipping a week before Christmas, dramatically up from 49 percent a year ago. In the past, shoppers would have had to pay a hefty premium shipping fee.

Then there’s the surging popularity of gift cards, which are encouraging shoppers to delay their buying. Americans will spend $26.3 billion on them this holiday season, a 42 percent increase from $18.5 billion in 2005, according to National Retail Federation.

Donovan, the shopper from San Francisco, said she plans to buy gift cards as a last resort if she can’t find anything else.

For some shoppers such as Gail Christenson, the holidays mean doing some shopping — including some for her small children — after Dec. 25, when prices get slashed further.

“Kids get too much at Christmas time,” said Christenson, of Albert Lea, Minn. “It’s better to shop after Christmas.”

Talk to us

> Give us your news tips.

> Send us a letter to the editor.

> More Herald contact information.

More in Business

Lily Lamoureux stacks Weebly Funko toys in preparation for Funko Friday at Funko Field in Everett on July 12, 2019.  Kevin Clark / The Herald)
Everett-based Funko ousts its CEO after 14 months

The company, known for its toy figures based on pop culture, named Michael Lunsford as its interim CEO.

The livery on a Boeing plane. (Christopher Pike / Bloomberg)
Former Lockheed Martin CFO joins Boeing as top financial officer

Boeing’s Chief Financial Officer is being replaced by a former CFO at… Continue reading

Izaac Escalante-Alvarez unpacks a new milling machine at the new Boeing machinists union’s apprentice training center on Friday, June 6, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Boeing Machinists union training center opens in Everett

The new center aims to give workers an inside track at Boeing jobs.

Some SnoCo stores see shortages after cyberattack on grocery supplier

Some stores, such as Whole Foods and US Foods CHEF’STORE, informed customers that some items may be temporarily unavailable.

People take photos and videos as the first Frontier Arlines flight arrives at Paine Field Airport under a water cannon salute on Monday, June 2, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Water cannons salute Frontier on its first day at Paine Field

Frontier Airlines joins Alaska Airlines in offering service Snohomish County passengers.

Amit B. Singh, president of Edmonds Community College. 201008
Edmonds College and schools continue diversity programs

Educational diversity programs are alive and well in Snohomish County.

A standard jet fuel, left, burns with extensive smoke output while a 50 percent SAF drop-in jet fuel, right, puts off less smoke during a demonstration of the difference in fuel emissions on Tuesday, March 28, 2023 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Sustainable aviation fuel center gets funding boost

A planned research and development center focused on sustainable aviation… Continue reading

Helion's 6th fusion prototype, Trenta, on display on Tuesday, July 9, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Helion celebrates smoother path to fusion energy site approval

Helion CEO applauds legislation signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson expected to streamline site selection process.

Pharmacist John Sontra and other employees work on calling customers to get their prescriptions transferred to other stores from the Bartell Drugs Pharmacy on Hoyt Avenue on Wednesday, July 2, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Bartell Drugs location shutters doors in Everett

John Sontra, a pharmacist at the Hoyt Avenue address for 46 years, said Monday’s closure was emotional.

Support local journalism

If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.