Cargo is where the planes go

  • BRYAN CORLISS / Herald Writer
  • Thursday, September 28, 2000 9:00pm
  • Local News


Herald Writer

WASHINGTON — The world will have twice as many air cargo planes in 20 years, but they will be converted passenger planes as opposed to new aircraft, the Boeing Co. projects.

The greatest growth will come in wide-body freighters, like Boeing’s 747s and 767s built in Everett, the company said.

The company issued its biennial World Air Cargo Forecast Thursday at the Air Cargo Forum in Washington, D.C.

This year, for the first time ever, Boeing will build more cargo-carrying 747s than passenger-carrying models. And a company spokesman last week said Boeing foresees steady growth in its cargo business.

Thursday’s report spelled out the projections:

  • A growth in the worldwide air cargo fleet from 1,600 to 3,200 planes by 2019. Air carriers will retire 1,100 older planes and add 2,600 new ones during that period.

  • Of the new planes, 1,800 will be conversions from existing passenger jets, while the remaining 800 will be built new.

  • The air cargo business will grow faster than the passenger business in every region of the world, at a rate of 6.4 percent per year over the next two decades. That will mean a tripling of the world’s air cargo business in the next 20 years.

  • The greatest growth will be in Asia, where shipments between points within the continent will grow by 8.6 percent a year. Shipments between North America and Asia will grow by 7.7 percent annually, and shipments between Europe and Asia will grow by 7.2 percent, Boeing projects.

    Perhaps not surprisingly, Boeing expects the greatest demand to be for wide-body freighters, like the 747 and 767, as well as MD-11s and DC-10s built by the former McDonnell-Douglas, which Boeing now owns.

    Most of the world’s air cargo fleet will be comprised of Boeing craft, according to Randy Baseler, Boeing Commercial Airplanes Group’s vice president for marketing.

    It’s more economical to convert existing passenger jets into freighters than to buy new ones, Baseler said. And since the bulk of passenger jets now flying are Boeing’s, it only makes sense that they will become the majority of the cargo fleet.

    Boeing also has an edge over rival Airbus Industrie in that it builds a full line of cargo planes, said Seddik Belyamani, the executive vice president for sales and marketing for the commercial air group. This could include the 747X Stretch freighter, which the company is developing but has not formally committed to build.

    As now conceived, the 747X Stretch would be able to carry 23 percent more cargo than the current 747-400F, which carries 124 tons.

    Talk to us

    > Give us your news tips.

    > Send us a letter to the editor.

    > More Herald contact information.

  • More in Local News

    Snohomish residents Barbara Bailey, right, and Beth Jarvis sit on a gate atop a levee on Bailey’s property on Monday, May 13, 2024, at Bailey Farm in Snohomish, Washington. Bailey is concerned the expansion of nearby Harvey Field Airport will lead to levee failures during future flood events due to a reduction of space for floodwater to safely go. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    Harvey Field seeks to reroute runway in floodplain, faces new pushback

    Snohomish farmers and neighbors worry the project will be disruptive and worsen flooding. Ownership advised people to “read the science.”

    IAM District 751 machinists join the picket line to support Boeing firefighters during their lockout from the company on Thursday, May 16, 2024, in Everett, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    Amid lockout, Boeing, union firefighters return to bargaining table

    The firefighters and the planemaker held limited negotiations this week: They plan to meet again Monday, but a lockout continues.

    Heavy traffic northbound on 1-5 in Everett, Washington on August 31, 2022.  (Kevin Clark / The Herald)
    On I-5 in Everett, traffic nightmare is reminder we’re ‘very vulnerable’

    After a police shooting shut down the freeway, commutes turned into all-night affairs. It was just a hint of what could be in a widespread disaster.

    Anthony Brock performs at Artisans PNW during the first day of the Fisherman’s Village Music Fest on Thursday, May 16, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
    At downtown Everett musical festival: ‘Be weird and dance with us’

    In its first night, Fisherman’s Village brought together people who “might not normally be in the same room together” — with big acts still to come.

    Two troopers place a photo of slain Washington State Patrol trooper Chris Gadd outside District 7 Headquarters about twelve hours after Gadd was struck and killed on southbound I-5 about a mile from the headquarters on Saturday, March 2, 2024, in Marysville, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    Judge reduces bail for driver accused of killing Marysville trooper

    After hearing from Raul Benitez Santana’s family, a judge decreased bail to $100,000. A deputy prosecutor said he was “very disappointed.”

    Pet detective Jim Branson stops to poke through some fur that Raphael the dog found while searching on Saturday, March 2, 2024, in Everett, Washington. Branson determined the fur in question was likely from a rabbit, and not a missing cat.(Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    Lost a pet? Pet detective James Branson and his dogs may be able to help

    James Branson, founder of Three Retrievers Lost Pet Rescue, helps people in the Seattle area find their missing pets for $350.

    Community Transit leaders, from left, Chief Communications Officer Geoff Patrick, Zero-Emissions Program Manager Jay Heim, PIO Monica Spain, Director of Maintenance Mike Swehla and CEO Ric Ilgenfritz stand in front of Community Transit’s hydrogen-powered bus on Monday, May 13, 2024, at the Community Transit Operations Base in Everett, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    New hydrogen, electric buses get trial run in Snohomish County

    As part of a zero-emission pilot program from Community Transit, the hydrogen bus will be the first in the Puget Sound area.

    Two people fight on the side of I-5 neat Marysville. (Photo provided by WSDOT)
    Video: Man charged at trooper, shouting ‘Who’s the boss?’ before shooting

    The deadly shooting shut down northbound I-5 near Everett for hours. Neither the trooper nor the deceased had been identified as of Friday.

    Two people fight on the side of I-5 neat Marysville. (Photo provided by WSDOT)
    Road rage, fatal police shooting along I-5 blocks traffic near Everett

    An attack on road workers preceded a report of shots fired Thursday, snarling freeway traffic in the region for hours.

    The Port of Everett and Everett Marina on Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2023 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
    Is Port of Everett’s proposed expansion a ‘stealth tax?’ Judge says no

    A Snohomish resident lost a battle in court this week protesting what he believes is a misleading measure from the Port of Everett.

    Pablo Garduno and the team at Barbacoa Judith’s churn out pit-roasted lamb tacos by the dozen at the Hidden Gems Weekend Market on Sunday, April 28, 2024, at Boom City in Tulalip, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
    Eating our way through Tulalip’s Hidden Gems weekend market

    Don’t miss the pupusas, pit-roasted lamb tacos, elotes and even produce for your next meal.

    Reed Macdonald, magniX CEO. Photo: magniX
    Everett-based magniX appoints longtime aerospace exec as new CEO

    Reed Macdonald will take the helm at a pivotal time for the company that builds electric motors for airplanes.

    Support local journalism

    If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.