Evidence points to pilot error in fatal crash

WASHINGTON — Flight data point to possible flight crew errors rather than ice accumulation as a key factor in last month’s plane crash near Buffalo, N.Y., that killed 50 people, aviation safety experts said Wednesday.

The National Transportation Safety Board said information obtained from the craft’s data recorder shows the stall warning system had activated before the accident and there was some ice accumulation, but no mechanical problems were found with the plane.

The data “shows that some ice accumulation was likely present on the airplane prior to the initial upset event, but that the airplane continued to respond as expected to flight control inputs throughout the accident flight,” the board said.

Continental Connection Flight 3407 was about five miles short of the Buffalo Niagara International Airport, flying in icing conditions the night of Feb. 12 when the plane tumbled out of control and plummeted onto a house. All 49 people aboard the plane and one man in the house died.

The board said data shows the speed of the Dash 8-Q400 Bombardier, a twin-engine turboprop, had slowed to 150 mph when the aircraft’s stick shaker activated — the device warns pilots of an impending stall by shaking the control yoke. When that happened, the board said, the plane continued to slow and “there was a 25-pound pull force on the control column,” forcing the aircraft’s nose up.

Aviation safety experts said pulling back increases a stall, and that pushing forward and increasing airspeed would have been the correct response.

“Pulling up is the wrong thing to do when the airplane is giving you a stall warning,” said William Waldock, a professor of safety science at Embry Riddle Aeronautical University who has investigated accidents for more than 30 years. “You increase the airspeed by pushing the nose down. He’s pulling up fairly abruptly. There’s an old adage that airspeed is life.”

“It’s sounding more and more like a human-factors accident,” Waldock said.

Former NTSB investigator Greg Phillips said it appears so far that the ice in the Buffalo crash “wasn’t anything the plane shouldn’t have been able to handle.”

Investigators are continuing to examine aircraft’s deicing system and to probe the flight crew’s training, the board said.

The NTSB has scheduled an unusual three-day public hearing in which all five board members will be present for May 12-14 on the Buffalo crash. The hearing will cover a range of safety issues, including the icing effect on the airplane’s performance, cold weather operations, sterile cockpit rules, crew experience, fatigue management, and stall recovery training, the statement said.

The board’s inclusion of sterile cockpit rules suggests the flight crew may have been distracted, safety experts said. Federal Aviation Administration rules require pilots to refrain from nonessential conversation and other activities during critical phases of flight, normally below 10,000 feet.

“The tragedy of Flight 3407 is the deadliest transportation accident in the United States in more than seven years,” acting NTSB Chairman Mark Rosenker said. “The circumstances of the crash have raised several issues that go well beyond the widely discussed matter of airframe icing, and we will explore these issues in our investigative fact-finding hearing.”

Talk to us

> Give us your news tips.

> Send us a letter to the editor.

> More Herald contact information.

More in Local News

Jennifer Humelo, right, hugs Art Cass outside of Full Life Care Snohomish County on Wednesday, May 28, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
‘I’ll lose everything’: Snohomish County’s only adult day health center to close

Full Life Care in Everett, which supports adults with disabilities, will shut its doors July 19 due to state funding challenges.

(City of Everett)
Everett’s possible new stadium has a possible price tag

City staff said a stadium could be built for $82 million, lower than previous estimates. Bonds and private investment would pay for most of it.

The Edmonds City Council gathers to discuss annexing into South County Fire on Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024 in Edmonds, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Community group presents vision for Edmonds’ fiscal future

Members from Keep Edmonds Vibrant suggested the council focus on revenue generation and a levy lid lift to address its budget crisis.

The age of bridge 503 that spans Swamp Creek can be seen in its timber supports and metal pipes on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, in Lynnwood, Washington. The bridge is set to be replaced by the county in 2025. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
Snohomish County report: 10 bridges set for repairs, replacement

An annual report the county released May 22 details the condition of local bridges and future maintenance they may require.

People listen as the Marysville School Board votes to close an elementary and a middle school in the 2025-26 school year while reconfiguring the district’s elementary schools to a K-6 model on Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 in Marysville, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Marysville schools audit shows some improvement

Even though the district still faces serious financial problems, the findings are a positive change over last year, auditors said.

Outside of the Madrona School on Monday, Aug. 26, 2024 in Edmonds, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Sewer district notifies Edmonds schools of intent to sue

The letter of intent alleges the school district has failed to address long-standing “water pollution issues” at Madrona K-8 School.

Cars drive along Cathcart Way next to the site of the proposed Eastview Village development that borders Little Cedars Elementary on Wednesday, May 7, 2025 in unincorporated Snohomish, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Former engineer: Snohomish County rushed plans for Eastview development

David Irwin cited red flags from the developers. After he resigned, the county approved the development that’s now stalled with an appeal

Logo for news use featuring the municipality of Mukilteo in Snohomish County, Washington. 220118
Mukilteo police locate dead body near Olympic View Middle School

At around 7 a.m. Thursday, officers responded to reports of an individual with possible injuries.

SMART concludes investigation into police use of force used in pursuit

Results of the investigation into the death of Payton Michaels were forwarded to the Snohomish County Prosecutor’s Office for review.

Providence Regional Medical Center Everett. (Olivia Vanni/The Herald)
Providence Everett plans 25% cut to nursing assistant staffing

The reduction, effective July 11, will affect all 39 per diem nursing assistants and 80 full-time and part-time assistants.

The Musical Mountaineers perform at Everett’s McCollum Park on June 14, 2025. (Photo courtesy of Adopt A Stream Foundation)
Photo courtesy of Adopt A Stream Foundation
The Musical Mountaineers perform at Everett’s McCollum Park on June 14.
Coming events in Snohomish County

Send calendar submissions for print and online to features@heraldnet.com. To ensure your… Continue reading

Lynnwood Mayor Christine Frizzell and Lynnwood City Council Member David Parshall along with others involved in the renovation of Scriber Lake Park explore the new boardwalk on Wednesday, June 4, 2025 in Lynnwood, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Lynnwood cuts the ribbon to new Scriber Lake Park boardwalk

The new boardwalk provides year-round, ADA accessibility to the city’s only public lake.

Support local journalism

If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.