Scott Walker’s strength grows in GOP

MILWAUKEE — As the early presidential primary polls pile up, some patterns are emerging for Scott Walker.

One, he’s consistently placing in the top tier of GOP candidates in most states.

Two, he is doing much better with conservative GOP voters than with moderate ones.

And three, he is doing better than anyone else with the most conservative voters.

All these trends come with big caveats. Presidential primary voters are still learning about the potential 2016 field. Most don’t have strong preferences at this point, almost a year before the first caucus or primary, and about six months before the first Republican debate. The horse race numbers will bounce around a lot over the coming months.

But taken together, these surveys do give us a sense of how the GOP hopefuls are perceived within their party at the front end of the campaign.

In Walker’s case, the big takeaway is his emerging strength with the party’s conservative base.

In polls released last weekend by NBC and Marist, Walker led the field among conservative Republicans in the three most important early states — Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

ADVERTISEMENT
0 seconds of 0 secondsVolume 0%
Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts
00:00
00:00
00:00
 

But he ran much further back in the pack among moderate Republicans, trailing Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul and others.

A new national poll of GOP voters by CBS shows a similar pattern. Asked about all the candidates they would “consider” voting for, 30 percent said Walker, which put him behind five other Republicans (reflecting in part his lower name recognition). But among “very conservative” Republicans and independents, 50 percent said they would consider voting for Walker, tops in the field.

Some insiders think Walker’s best route to the nomination is to position himself as the leading conservative alternative to Bush, who is doing much better right now with moderates than conservatives. These polls suggest the Wisconsin governor has a shot at doing that.

In the Iowa and New Hampshire polls, Walker led among tea party supporters, and in all three states, he was competitive with evangelical voters.

In a different survey of South Carolina Republicans by Public Policy Polling, Walker led among “very conservative” voters, tea party supporters, and voters who don’t believe in evolution.

Bush, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and — interestingly — Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul-are doing better with moderate voters within the GOP than conservative ones in these recent state polls. Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz are doing better with conservatives than moderates.

Walker continues to get low “negatives” from Republican voters.

That suggests that while he is much stronger with conservatives, he isn’t alienating too many moderates at this point, which would be a great recipe for going far in the primaries if he can pull it off.

Talk to us

> Give us your news tips.

> Send us a letter to the editor.

> More Herald contact information.

More in Local News

Jennifer Humelo, right, hugs Art Cass outside of Full Life Care Snohomish County on Wednesday, May 28, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
‘I’ll lose everything’: Snohomish County’s only adult day health center to close

Full Life Care in Everett, which supports adults with disabilities, will shut its doors July 19 due to state funding challenges.

(City of Everett)
Everett’s possible new stadium has a possible price tag

City staff said a stadium could be built for $82 million, lower than previous estimates. Bonds and private investment would pay for most of it.

The Edmonds City Council gathers to discuss annexing into South County Fire on Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024 in Edmonds, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Community group presents vision for Edmonds’ fiscal future

Members from Keep Edmonds Vibrant suggested the council focus on revenue generation and a levy lid lift to address its budget crisis.

The age of bridge 503 that spans Swamp Creek can be seen in its timber supports and metal pipes on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, in Lynnwood, Washington. The bridge is set to be replaced by the county in 2025. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
Snohomish County report: 10 bridges set for repairs, replacement

An annual report the county released May 22 details the condition of local bridges and future maintenance they may require.

People listen as the Marysville School Board votes to close an elementary and a middle school in the 2025-26 school year while reconfiguring the district’s elementary schools to a K-6 model on Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 in Marysville, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Marysville schools audit shows some improvement

Even though the district still faces serious financial problems, the findings are a positive change over last year, auditors said.

Outside of the Madrona School on Monday, Aug. 26, 2024 in Edmonds, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Sewer district notifies Edmonds schools of intent to sue

The letter of intent alleges the school district has failed to address long-standing “water pollution issues” at Madrona K-8 School.

Cars drive along Cathcart Way next to the site of the proposed Eastview Village development that borders Little Cedars Elementary on Wednesday, May 7, 2025 in unincorporated Snohomish, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Former engineer: Snohomish County rushed plans for Eastview development

David Irwin cited red flags from the developers. After he resigned, the county approved the development that’s now stalled with an appeal

The Everett City Council listens as Casino Road residents share their concerns about possible displacement and rent increases on Wednesday, April 16, 2025 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Everett council set to vote on final comp plan

The council is expected to vote on whether to approve a massive update to its land use and development standards on June 18.

Logo for news use featuring the municipality of Mukilteo in Snohomish County, Washington. 220118
Mukilteo police locate dead body near Olympic View Middle School

At around 7 a.m. Thursday, officers responded to reports of an individual with possible injuries.

SMART concludes investigation into police use of force used in pursuit

Results of the investigation into the death of Payton Michaels were forwarded to the Snohomish County Prosecutor’s Office for review.

Providence Regional Medical Center Everett. (Olivia Vanni/The Herald)
Providence Everett plans 25% cut to nursing assistant staffing

The reduction, effective July 11, will affect all 39 per diem nursing assistants and 80 full-time and part-time assistants.

The Musical Mountaineers perform at Everett’s McCollum Park on June 14, 2025. (Photo courtesy of Adopt A Stream Foundation)
Photo courtesy of Adopt A Stream Foundation
The Musical Mountaineers perform at Everett’s McCollum Park on June 14.
Coming events in Snohomish County

Send calendar submissions for print and online to features@heraldnet.com. To ensure your… Continue reading

Support local journalism

If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.