Analysis: Yes, Romney won the debate. Sort of

After months of running one of the most gaffe-plagued and widely mocked presidential campaigns in modern history, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney delivered a debate performance that may not have been a bona fide knockout, but was definitely a winner — at least with certain voters.

Romney looked relaxed, confident, even likable — all qualities he has struggled to convey in recent months. President Barack Obama, on the other hand, looked and sounded exhausted. That’s understandable, given the fact that he’s busy doing full-time jobs, including a pretty big one (you know, being president) and another pretty big one (you know, running for president).

While Romney’s answers flowed freely, the president often seemed to be searching for his. The end result? Romney enjoyed a clear victory, particularly with male voters, if the CNN instant poll tracking the reactions of undecided voters was any indication.

Here’s what I mean. Almost as often as he used the phrase “middle class” (one I predicted the president would use repeatedly), the president used the word “education.” The reason? It’s an issue that polls have shown resonates more strongly with women than with men. (A Pew Research study found 79 percent of women consider education “very important” in determining their vote this fall.)

In fact, CNN’s instant poll tracking the reactions of undecided voters throughout the televised debate, which was visible to all viewers, showed that undecided female voters reacted extremely positively whenever President Obama mentioned “education,” as well as when he touched upon the benefits to families from “Obamacare.” (Health care is another issue on which female voters place greater emphasis on than male voters.)

Similarly, whenever Romney mentioned the word “jobs” — which he mentioned about as many times as the president mentioned “middle class” — male undecided voters appeared to react extremely positively, much more so for him than they did when the president discussed the economy.

I have written before of President Obama’s struggle with male voters, particularly white male voters. The bad news for the Obama campaign is the president likely didn’t win them over during the first debate.

The good news for the president’s campaign? There actually wasn’t much from last night. Romney was dubbed the clear winner in postdebate polls. But there are these silver linings:

One: There are two more matchups with Mitt Romney.

Two: Women voters, who are largely credited with keeping the Obama campaign afloat so far, are unlikely to abandon him after tonight’s performance.

The president’s delivery, tone and body language clearly left a lot to be desired (even his own team is unlikely to deny that), but he hit a number of high notes that resonate with women. That doesn’t mean the president “won” with women tonight, but in a campaign, not losing a significant part of your voting base to your opponent can be just as important as winning over additional voters.

Keli Goff is The Root’s political correspondent.

Distributed by the Washington Post-Bloomberg News Service

Talk to us

> Give us your news tips.

> Send us a letter to the editor.

> More Herald contact information.

More in Local News

Girl, 11, missing from Lynnwood

Sha’niece Watson’s family is concerned for her safety, according to the sheriff’s office. She has ties to Whidbey Island.

A cyclist crosses the road near the proposed site of a new park, left, at the intersection of Holly Drive and 100th Street SW on Thursday, May 2, 2024, in Everett, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
Everett to use $2.2M for Holly neighborhood’s first park

The new park is set to double as a stormwater facility at the southeast corner of Holly Drive and 100th Street SW.

The Grand Avenue Park Bridge elevator after someone set off a fire extinguisher in the elevator last week, damaging the cables and brakes. (Photo provided by the City of Everett)
Grand Avenue Park Bridge vandalized, out of service at least a week

Repairs could cost $5,500 after someone set off a fire extinguisher in the elevator on April 27.

Marysville
Marysville man arrested in alleged murder conspiracy in Anacortes

Jesse Michael Allen, of Marysville, is the fifth suspect police believe participated in an alleged kidnapping in September.

Construction occurs at 16104 Cascadian Way in Bothell, Washington on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. (Annie Barker / The Herald)
What Snohomish County ZIP codes have seen biggest jumps in home value?

Mill Creek, for one. As interest rates remain high and supplies are low, buyers could have trouble in today’s housing market.

Rylee Fink, 3, left, stomps through the sand while other children run through the water during a low tide at Howarth Park on Tuesday, May 7, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Stock up on sunblock: Highs in 80s could be coming to Snohomish County

Everett could hit a high of 79 on Saturday. Farther inland, temperatures could reach as high as 86 this weekend.

Neighbors stand in Lisa Jansson’s yard to get a view of the wall of processed wood remains, or “hog fuel,” building up along the property’s border with DTG on Tuesday, March 5, 2024, in Snohomish, Washington. (Ryan Berry / The Herald)
After complaints, county shuts down DTG’s Maltby recycling facility

For months, neighbors have reported constant noise and pollution at the facility. By July 15, DTG must stop accepting material there.

Everett
Deputies arrest woman after 2-hour standoff south of Everett

Just before 9 a.m., police responded to reports of domestic violence in the 11600 block of 11th Place W.

Bruiser, photographed here in November 2021, is Whidbey Island’s lone elk. Over the years he has gained quite the following. Fans were concerned for his welfare Wednesday when a rumor circulated social media about his supposed death. A confirmed sighting of him was made Wednesday evening after the false post. (Jay Londo )
Whidbey Island’s elk-in-residence Bruiser not guilty of rumored assault

Recent rumors of the elk’s alleged aggression have been greatly exaggerated, according to state Fish and Wildlife.

Jamel Alexander stands as the jury enters the courtroom for the second time during his trial at the Snohomish County Courthouse on Monday, May 6, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Second trial in Everett woman’s stomping death ends in mistrial

Jamel Alexander’s conviction in the 2019 killing of Shawna Brune was overturned on appeal in 2023. Jurors in a second trial were deadlocked.

A car drives past a speed sign along Casino Road alerting drivers they will be crossing into a school zone next to Horizon Elementary on Thursday, March 7, 2024 in Everett, Washington. (Olivia Vanni / The Herald)
Traffic cameras begin dinging school zone violators in Everett

Following a one-month grace period, traffic cameras are now sending out tickets near Horizon Elementary in Everett.

(Photo provided by Washington State Criminal Justice Training Commission, Federal Way Mirror)
Everett officer alleges sexual harassment at state police academy

In a second lawsuit since October, a former cadet alleges her instructor sexually touched her during instruction.

Support local journalism

If you value local news, make a gift now to support the trusted journalism you get in The Daily Herald. Donations processed in this system are not tax deductible.